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donathos on 28 May 2020
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SvennoJ said:
SpokenTruth said:

Now you see why I shortened mine. lol.

Yep, apologies to those trying to view the graphs on a phone :)

How naive we were at the start, 2 months lock down seemed excessive. It should be contained in 4 weeks tops. All those flatten the curve graphs with a nice symmetrical hump at the start.

Nope, not happening that way. (except New Zealand and Australia, they actually pulled it off)

Things aren't settled yet, and we oughtn't discuss them as though they are... but...

Haven't we mostly managed to do what was asked, and exemplified by that graph? Haven't we "flattened the curve" via our protective measures? Seems to me like people act now as though the mission was originally "stop the virus cold in its tracks" or something, but it wasn't. It was acknowledged early on, to the best of my recollection, that the genie was out of the lamp, and that we could only mitigate the spread -- draw it out over time, precisely so that we could avoid crossing that dotted blue line. Because we were all afraid of the nightmare scenario of our hospitals being completely overrun, people who needed ventilators and couldn't get them, people with other emergencies being denied basic access, etc. None of that has happened (yet). Well, that's why we locked down, not to eliminate the virus or its spread.

I don't know who was imagining that the virus would just up and go away (outside of Trump), but that was never on the table: it was not possible, and it won't be possible unless and until we have an effective vaccine.