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"But it's still a scary thought that if you happen to get tested positive in Brazil, UK, Belgium and Sweden, you're already up to a 1 in 5 chance of not surviving." - SvennoJ
Thats because alot of places they dont test "healthy" looking individuals without any signs of being infected.
Alot of people have this virus, and arnt even aware of it. These type of people just assume they dont have it, so why would they bother to go get tested?
The people that go get tested, are usually the ones that already have symptoms (ei. their sickness is turning out worse than most).
or people that have bad symptoms... like alot of people will just assume "I can pull through this, its not so bad" and they dont go get tested.
Ones that get tested, are often people that have such horrible symptoms they go to the hospital, and explain their symptoms to the hospitals, and then get tested there.
Even those tents were you can just drive in and get tested, usually require you to have a doctor giveing you the "okay go get tested".
These doctors usually only give them to people with symptoms too.
So basically, we mainly test those who already are showing signs of bad outcomes.
The remaining ones with better outcomes, are just walking around ignorantly bliss, not knowing they are infected and infecting others.
"ignorance really is bliss" with this virus.
You want to go take a anti body test, find out you have antibodies, unaware that you were ever even infected.
Thats the best possible outcome to a antibody test imo.
"Thanks, yep at least 0.7% I can agree with. Closer to 1.0% would be my guess, although the older estimate of 1.2% is also still in range." - SvennoJ
Yeah I think John Campbell is over optimistic, about it being only ~0.7%.
Given that most places excess mortality are higher than reported covid19 deaths.
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