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tombi123 on 28 June 2008
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starcraft said:
Torillian said:
Enhanced huh?

is your analysis. You're right, often games will trend downwards, but that's mainly applied to games that come in with a lot of hype, since the first few reviews may or may not succumb to that hype, and is alot less pronounced for other games. In recent history I know that MGS4 actually trended upward due to a few early lower reviews.

And you're telling me that same sites with different reviewers is enough reason to invalidate comparing two scores from the same sites, but you can use aggregates of completely different sites and that's fine?

Truthfully you have no idea how it will trend, and don't even bring in the idea that a game that was previously released on another platform usually has lower scores even if enhanced simply because the original excitement for the game is long gone.

Actually I didn't say anywhere that we should invalidate comparisons between  two scores from one site, I just happen to believe that an aggregate of a far wider range of opinions is a far better yardstick for game quality, a belief that is only supported when the main example you used for PS3 superiority had different reviewers.

Do I "know" how this game will trend?  No.  Can I make a reasonable and likely prediction?  Yes.  Do you honestly think that after 30/40 reviews this game will be higher than it is now?

As for the final point that you tried to invalidate by pre-empting my bringing it up?  I was going to demonstrate why it is perfectly relevant to this debate until I realised that Gobias and Windbane, in their usual rush to try (and fail) to discredit me, have in fact simply rebutted you.

At the end of the day, the poor and tremendously subjective "analysis" that you're seeking can be found in the thread title, not in my first post.

 

 

Bolded: No you don't know how this game will trend, but you claimed that you did in the first post. Can you make a reasonable prediction? No you can't. Not based off of twelve reviews. Ideally you need a minimum of thirty reviews before you can start analysing the trend. If the next four reviews gave it 9/10, that pushes up the average to 77. The average score can quickly change with so few reviews. 

Do I honestly think that after 30/40 reviews that the score for his game will be higher than it is now? Well, I don't know, it is too early to tell.