Coronavirus (COVID-19) Discussion Thread

[Trumpstyle]

SvennoJ said:

Trumpstyle said:

Yeah I wonder what is going in Canada and California, despite a lockdown the 2 places have an R1 number if you look at confirmed cases and daily reported dead. I don't see what guys are planning to do, must be a tough situation.

We're planning to re-open everything in 3 phases. Phase 1 on Monday (or Tuesday, Monday is a bank holiday) in Ontario.
https://toronto.ctvnews.ca/full-list-of-businesses-that-can-reopen-in-ontario-1.4921154
However every province has their own strategy and ideas. Phase two to follow in 2 weeks if cases keep declining.

Canada and USA are currently under R1, I have them tracking at 84% and 88% week over week. Which is 0.975x and 0.982x daily growth. It's not much of a decline, hence I don't think it wise to start opening things up yet. (Except for the parks, that can't hurt, give people more room to spread out) The weather just turned from freezing to +20c. May 24 weekend this weekend, traditional time to head out to cottage country, however plenty local majors have asked people to stay away. https://toronto.ctvnews.ca/cottage-country-mayors-urging-seasonal-residents-to-stay-away-during-covid-19-crisis-1.4874661

Long term plan is working on a vaccine I guess. Anti body tests got approved last week and clinical trials have been approved for a Chinese vaccine to get tested. A lot of other research is going on as well.

What are the plans in Sweden, stay the course? I see the growth rate slowly declining again in Sweden, currently 106% week over week or 1.01x daily, avg 570 cases and 70 deaths a day. Is that the new normal?


Muppets. Yesterday they were celebrating the lowest case count in 6 weeks in Ontario, today:
*On May 15th, the province reports a data error, as noted by Health Minister Christine Elliott.  Yesterday, 87 new cases were missed, and the Ontario tally should have read 345, not 258

I meant ongoing lockdown in California and Canada in my previous post. What is going on with these annoying phases? There should just be 1 phase, either Trace/quarantine/self-isolate work and can keep it going or it doesn't work and countries haft to go for herd immunity as a second lockdown won't have the same effect as the first one.

Weather is actually very positive, it will lower the R number, by how much we shall see. But it can be a problem when fall return and the cold is back.

As for Sweden, we already hit peak infection on ~april 6, the international media can't see our charts.

This is a picture of our R daily cases with both extra testing and without, the dark purple is our R number and light purple is extra testing on hospital personal.

And our dead for when it happened, includes todays number.

They both on a downtrend.

Edit: as for our plan, We staying the course, there was a very misleading bloomberg article recently that we are questioning our course, but that is not the case. 60%+ of swedes are super happy what we doing and about 22% are okey what we doing.

Last edited by Trumpstyle - on 15 May 2020