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kenjab said:
So it seems that while the pandemic is going on Nintendo isn't comfortable announcing anything until 2 months before release. Most big announcements in the mini-Direct in late March come out later this month, two months later. Now Paper Mario is announced today, releasing in mid-July. We might not know what the holiday release(s) will be until September at this rate.

Oh I didn't think of it that way, your thinking makes a lot of sense and gives me hope!