Coronavirus (COVID-19) Discussion Thread

[SvennoJ]

Updates for Europe (these graphs are getting long)

The weekend always does a good job getting the numbers down, only Ireland and Russia kept on testing at the regular pace.
Russia now adds 43.4% of the daily cases in Europe, up 3.4% from a few days ago.

Italy has been tracking lower than before the lock down for a few days now:

Italy 100 reported cases per day Feb 25th (-25)
Italy lock down March 9th with 1422 reported cases per day (-12)
Italy growth peak March 21st + 12 days (0) highest reported cases 6557
Italy reported deaths peak March 27th + 18 days (+6) highest reported deaths in a single day 919
Italy active case peak April 19th + 41 days (+29)
Italy back to lock down numbers May 4th +56 days (+44)

From lock down up the hill and back down took 56 days or 44 days since reaching the growth peak.
Back down to 100 cases per day will still take a while.


For comparison

China lock down Januari 23rd with 260 reported cases per day (-12)
China growth peak Februari 4th + 12 days (0) highest reported cases 3884
China reported deaths peak Februari 12th + 20 days (8) highest reported deaths 146
China active case peak Februari 17th + 25 days (13)
China back to lock down numbers March 1st + 38 days (30)

China had a smaller outbreak, growth peak was reached in the same time after lock down but it only took 38 days instead of 56 to get back down.


Spain is pretty similar to Italy

Spain 100 per day Mar 6th (-20)
Spain lock down March 14th with 1614 reported cases per day (-12)
Spain growth peak March 26st + 12 days (0) highest reported cases 8271
Spain death peak April 2nd + 19 days (7) highest reported deaths 961
Spain active case peak April 23rd + 40 (+28)
Spain back to lockdown numbers <pending> currently at 2600 cases per day


Reported deaths are all in decline as well in Europe

Russia made it to the top 5, Sweden is moving up by holding steady.
UK represents 42.4% of daily reported deaths in Europe.


Week over week comparisons show the current trends

Spain and Germany are still under 100% but have been creeping up, not slowing fast anymore.
The UK finally dipped back under the 100%, France just had some corrections (old cases) messing things up.
Italy is keeping its steady decline.
Belgium has lost its week over week decline which the Netherlands is holding on to.
Ireland is still declining at a good pace, Denmark barely declining while Sweden is back to increasing week over week.

Overall Europe is flat week over week, 100.2% compared to last week. Russia single-handedly wipes out any ground made in the rest of Europe.