Nintendo quarterly results May 7th 2020 - Switch: 55.77m, (21m for the FY) Animal Crossing: 11.77m

[The_Liquid_Laser]

Otter said:

Wyrdness said:

Basically your whole argument here is what someone before you has said in prior years and each time things turned out differently to what they thought that's what he's pointing out each time the same argument is adjusted for example before March many people didn't think AC was as big a system seller as they were told.

Your post here even contradicts itself as Zelda which you class as an average exclusive has been the NS' flagship title at one point the NS version had over 100% attach rate as more people owned it than the platform due the not being enough Switchs in stock.

If someone said the Switches biggest software is behind it in 2018, i would say Smash, mainline pokemon and animal crossing are on the horizon. What do you say is on the horizon now? 

And Animal crossing has always been huge on portable, new leaf sold 12m. I don't think anyone expected how big horizons is but none the less it still is in Nintendo's elite and is top seller on everyone platform since NDS. 

2D/isometric Zelda =/= 3D Zelda. There is no contradiction there.

If you disagree with my opinion that Switch is unlikely to have another 20m+ year after fiscal year ending March 2021 (my comment was in response to their potentially being 3 more 20m years), I'd genuinely like to here why. Regardless of what anyone else said, it's a reasonable estimation from what I can see.

For 10m+ sellers:
2 Pokemon games, (2021 and 2022 unless corona pushes them back)
BotW 2
Another Mario Party
Tomadachi game
a strongly rumored 3D Mario collection

Again all of that is stuff that is very likely to release and has a good chance of going 10m+.  Nintendo still has strong sellers it can release every year, and this is on top of other games like Bayonetta 3 and Metroid Prime 4.  The release schedule is going to keep rolling out the hits.  On top of all of that:
-Those old big games like Zelda and Smash Bros still push hardware.
-Nintendo keeps releasing new IP every year.  Expect that to continue.
-The number of third party releases increases every year.
-Switch hasn't had a price drop yet.
-There is a virus that makes people want to sit at home and play video games.

Switch still has a lot of factors that will keep driving sales, and it hasn't shown any indication of slowing down yet.