Coronavirus (COVID-19) Discussion Thread

[Pyro as Bill]

SvennoJ said:

Trumpstyle said:

What I mean with assumption is that we don't know when people were infected in Stockholm, they just found out someone in Dec had Covid in France, another assumption is R2.2.

Why can't we just do 5-10% infected at end of March with 1806 confirmed cases and 8033 confirmed cases on april 30. That 's 4,4x increase, so 22%-44% in Stockholm had been infected by April 30. This basing on antibodies showing that 10% had been infected by end of march and our government estimate 75x more infection compared to confirmed cases.

As for the rest, I don't know why people are comparing us to Norway, Denmark now as they hasn't open up their society yet, they will do it. Let's w8 I expect they will give up on mass testing/tracing/quarantine/self-isolation and just mimic us.

Our immigrant communities, I remember something about they being hit extra hard because our government tried to communicate in Swedish only, we now doing it in multiple languanges.

The assumption for R0 at 2.2 is backed up by plenty evidence. It's reflected in doubling rates of reported deaths at early stages (before social distancing and lock downs have effect) Much more reliable than one test where only half the respondents returned samples.

How can you have an accurate R0 without knowing the true number of cases? It's an average anyway.

Scientists say a now-dominant strain of the coronavirus appears to be more contagious than original

https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2020-05-05/mutant-coronavirus-has-emerged-more-contagious-than-original