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RolStoppable said:

Planning for a Switch 2 launch in 2023 or earlier would be repeating the same mistake that Nintendo made with the Wii and DS where they cut lifecycles short, meaning that the market was not ready to move on. The work on next gen first party games significantly reduced the software output for consoles that had enough life left in them to last longer than six years before replacement.

Switch hasn't got a price cut through three years, has the benefit of a monopoly in the portable console market and its fourth year is set to be bigger than any of the previous ones. It's baffling that despite these circumstances there are so many people who believe that Switch should be replaced by 2023 at the latest. Points that are being made strike me as backwards, such as development times being long in this day and age, that's why work on next gen games has to start now. But development times being long is the reason why generations should be longer, because longer development times means fewer games, and fewer games means that individual saturation points for IPs won't be reached as fast as in previous generations. For example, the NES had three Super Mario Bros. games (the sales of SMB3 don't even indicate any oversaturation of the IP), so why in the world would there be growing disinterest in Switch when a lot of Nintendo IPs struggle to even get to three installments on one and the same system?

The reason why the NES was replaced kind of premature was competition, because other companies were launching next gen systems. There's no need for Switch 2 in 2023 or earlier when neither Sony or Microsoft are expected to launch new systems before 2026. And again, people keep overlooking Nintendo's monopoly in the portable console market as if it meant nothing at all, because they are so fixated on a home console perspective.

U know (other than comments on the wii which is a whole nother conversarion), I think u hit the nail on the head with eveey point  and it all comes down to ur basic arguement that the switch is a portable w a cool added feature as opposed to a home console thats also portable. I think the difference in POV might come from people's wants and misconceptions though. I know if 10do continues on a path of 60$ handheld games and a huge lack of AAA (console games) ill be skipping the switch 2 regardless of when it releases. I love that it uses cartridges,  I love that it has more LAN games than the competitors and I like how ez it is to carry from one monitor/tv to another. I dont care at all that u can "play on the go".

I got the impression from the marketing that the switch is a home console thats portable. Which is, I think, where the misconception comes in.  I bought into it with zelda, mario, spla2n, and xenoblade 2 coming out that 1st year.  All games that, to me, are AAA console titles of different genres (Some more mainstream than others). In hindsight i probably shouldve known better w the lack of 3rd party AAA announcements. I think at the time I blamed it on the wii&wiiu generations killing (to varying degrees) 3rd party interest in 10do.