Coronavirus (COVID-19) Discussion Thread

[Pyro as Bill]

Scoobes said:

Pyro as Bill said:

The antibody test doesn't become 90%+ accurate until 21 days after symptoms.

I think your 0.2% CFR number for under 18s is bullshit.

100,000+ people infected in Stockholm at the end of March. How many under 18s had died there a month ago?

https://www.statista.com/statistics/1107913/number-of-coronavirus-deaths-in-sweden-by-age-groups/

It's taken from here using global statistics, not just Sweden:

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/coronavirus-age-sex-demographics/

I made a mistake as the 0-9 age group is low enough to be not statistically significant (or it's out of date), 10-19 is 0.2% likelihood of death.

Age of Coronavirus Deaths

COVID-19 Fatality Rate by AGE:

*Death Rate = (number of deaths / number of cases) = probability of dying if infected by the virus (%). This probability differs depending on the age group. The percentages shown below do not have to add up to 100%, as they do NOT represent share of deaths by age group. Rather, it represents, for a person in a given age group, the risk of dying if infected with COVID-19.

AGE	DEATH RATE confirmed cases	DEATH RATE all cases
80+ years old	21.9%	14.8%
70-79 years old		8.0%
60-69 years old		3.6%
50-59 years old		1.3%
40-49 years old		0.4%
30-39 years old		0.2%
20-29 years old		0.2%
10-19 years old		0.2%
0-9 years old		no fatalities

*Death Rate = (number of deaths / number of cases) = probability of dying if infected by the virus (%). The percentages do not have to add up to 100%, as they do NOT represent share of deaths by age group.

That's still up to 15,000 10-19 year olds dead in the UK if we assume they all get infected. So, is that acceptable?

Why would you choose China's shitty numbers instead of the more reliable 0.04% number from New York? NY's number is still way above the real number but that won't be proven until we see how many people were actually infected.

NY has 3 deaths (as of Apr 14) and all 3 had underlying health conditions. Sweden has 2.

We know Covid is worse than regular flu for everyone except children. Would you shut down the world's economy to protect kids from the regular flu?

Edit - a 10yr old has the same chance of dying as a 39yr old and you don't think those numbers look a little suspect?

Last edited by Pyro as Bill - on 04 May 2020