| Trumpstyle said: But our confirmed cases is now steady even with increased testing, same with our daily reported dead, it's stable or in a slight decline. This can only mean that about 25-30% of stockholm must be immune otherwise it would just keep increasing and increasing. As for getting down from the peak, that is not the goal from what I know. Our virus dude (Anders Tegnell) said he aims to hover around R1, this could mean slightly higher or slightly below. I'm hoping he will increase the R number as you can't ask the vulnerable people to remain isolated forever, maybe 2-4 month and they will stop isolate themself. |
Where did Tegnell say that he "aims to hover around R1"? These are the latest estimates released by the Ministry of Health and Social Affairs:
| Date | R |
| 2020-04-18 | 1.01 |
| 2020-04-19 | 0.97 |
| 2020-04-20 | 1.00 |
| 2020-04-21 | 0.98 |
| 2020-04-22 | 0.96 |
| 2020-04-23 | 0.93 |
| 2020-04-24 | 0.89 |
| 2020-04-25 | 0.85 |
From what I've read Tegnell has been cautiously optimistic about the downward trend shown by these estimates, but if he aims for an R-value of 1 then he'd actually want the value to go back to 1 again?
