Coronavirus (COVID-19) Discussion Thread

[Trumpstyle]

SvennoJ said:

How can it go from a (not all that reliable measurement) of 10% to 25% to 30% while the reported cases are in a slight decline vs increased testing.
Even if 10% was reached from the first detected case on Februari 15th, 1 month of unhampered growth (Sweden started social distancing on about March 10th) plus another 20 days of restricted growth. Then how on earth can it now be 25% to 30% after 1 more month without further growth.

Sweden reported 17,370 new cases since April 1st. Even if we assume that it's still 10x under reported, and we pile all those cases onto Stockholm, and we take the 10% on April 1st for granted, today Stockholm could at most be at 24% infected. That's a lot of ifs, wild guesses and incorrect counting piled on top of each other.

So basically what your virus dude wants to happen is kill another 5 times as many people in Stockholm, then the rest of the country as well?
(Wild guess on deaths, it will still take 20 days to find out the fatalities from April 1st to today, when that number is known and it is indeed 24% currently, then it would 'only' be another 2x to 3x as many piled on top, excluding the rest of the country)

This is what's slowing it down

Not as drastic a change compared to other countries, hence no real decline.

At least Sweden kept the parks open and people go there to I assume stay apart from each other. That's the big misstep here, herding everyone into the few remaining green spaces that are not closed, closed to keep people apart... You don't need common sense to be a politician :)

I think you're making too many assumptions, our first reported case was in jan 31 but in the city Jönköping. We don't know when the first person who had the virus in Stockholm because someone might had it in Jan but it was never reported. Where you getting there's just 10x more infected then confirmed cases?

I don't know if these numbers will help you, these are total reported cases for stockholm.

March 01: 4 confirmed cases
March 10: 207 confirmed cases
March 15: 359 confirmed cases
March 20: 606 confimred cases
March 30: 1806 confirmed cases
April 30: 8033 confirmed cases

Edit: added more dates (March 10/March 20)

Last edited by Trumpstyle - on 04 May 2020