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The lock down is pretty soft here anyway. Today I cycled through town and almost half the parking lots were filled again, construction work had resumed, some shops were open. This will cause some friction at some point between those that are allowed to work and those stuck without income. The soft lock down lengthens the duration for closing offices, restaurants and non essential stores.

What we have so far in Ontario:

State of emergency declared on March 17th while closing down most businesses over the next few days.

March 16th to 23rd: 2.44x increase in daily reported cases
March 23rd to 30th: 3.94x increase in daily reported cases
March 30th to April 6th: 1.32x increase in daily reported cases
April 6th to 13th: 1.19x increase in daily reported cases
April 13th to 20th: 1.32x increase in daily reported cases
April 20th to 27th: 0.80x decrease in daily reported cases

So it took us over 4 weeks to peak with the softer lock down instead of 2 weeks.

Currently the daily decline is 0.97x. Or every 100 infected people still infect 97 new people. There's not much room to experiment with re-openings when you're still this close to positive growth. The reported deaths may or may not have peaked yet, it's back up to where it was 11 days ago. Not declining yet.



Hmm, fire department is on the move. Nope, it's a birthday celebration lol. Volunteer fire fighter followed by a few dozen cars with balloons hanging out the windows.