siebensus4 on 27 April 2020
It depends on when Nintendo offers a successor. In the worst case (for Switch sales) that would be 2022. Switch should have 70+M by the end of this year. If we expect that this is Switch's peak year, then we should see a bit less next year (18M), 12M in 2022 and another 10M until end of life, so there's now way it can sell below 110M. If it should sell below 110M, sales need to drop faster than Wii, which is unlikely because of the hyprid system nature.
I'm not sure if Switch peaks this year, so I voted 120M, which is still pretty pessimistic imo. It currently sells faster than PS4 and legs after the launch of a successor should be fine, because of the hyprid system and room for price cuts.
