Coronavirus (COVID-19) Discussion Thread

[Trumpstyle]

SvennoJ said:

That makes the outcome even less possible. If there should have been 2.7 million infected on March 25th, then with the fastest observed doubling rate of 4.6 days to double, there should have been infected people walking around before Christmas in NY. Thus the first deaths would have happened early Januari and the virus could spread problem free, at the fastest possible rate, until March 25th.

That might be possible, I think I have seen 1 or maybe few article speculating that the virus was over at the United states earlier than previously thought. Next anti body sample test will be interesting.

LurkerJ said:

Trumpstyle said:

Guys you all missed an importart part of the New york state antibody test, this is what they used (LgG):

"Antibodies develop when the immune system responds to a germ, usually a virus or a bacterium. With otherdiseases, IgG is one type of antibody that usually develops 3-4 weeks after infection with the germ and lasts for a long time."

https://coronavirus.health.ny.gov/system/files/documents/2020/04/updated-13102-nysdoh-wadsworth-centers-assay-for-sars-cov-2-igg.pdf

Basically they were testing how many people were infected about a month ago as it takes 3-4 weeks before this test can see the antibodies appear, the 13.8% could be far higher. So you can't do a fatality rate for it just yet but Cuomu said 0.5% but that doesn't include people who died in their homes. We just haft to w8 if there's an upward trend in the next antibody test they do.

Anyway this week our health agency in Sweden released a interesting number, they believe there is 75x more people who had the virus than confirmed cases, if we do todays numbers, 18177 confirmed cases and 2192 dead. We get 0.16% fatality rate and 1363 275 has had the virus in sweden as for today.

Thanks for your contributions. May I ask do you where the graph below was taken from? I couldn't find the website mentioned.

Nope have not seen that graph :) but I would say some countries might had some successes with their lockdowns but I wonder their exit strategy will be, sooner or later borders needs to open up and international traveling will begin again. I can't see how they will protect themself from outbreaks when that happens.