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Salnax said:

Overall, I think we're in for at least one upcoming 20+ million seller, either a 2D Super Mario or more likely Pokemon.

Yeah I'd say that's about right, except I'd say 2D Mario more likely than Pokemon.

A gen 9 pokemon that gets the fanbase really excited and is considered a lot better than Sh/Sw could possibly do 20 million, though honestly I doubt it. Pokemon games always go down in sales with each release on a system. Especially if there is a remake in between and gen 9 is the fourth pokemon to appear on Switch. But still it's a possibility, but its gotta get buzz for being the definitive pokemon experience and not have the backlash that Sw/Sh got.

The start of a brand new 2D Mario series I think is the most likely 20+ million seller. New art style, tighter controls, keep the 4 player, push the boundaries of 2D Mario a bit, play up some nostalgia to the original 2D games, and lots of marketing...that could do it. Given that NSMBU:D might end up being a 10 million seller I think a new 2D Mario would have a good shot at 20 million.