Does Anybody Believe the NSW can sell around 150mil lifetime?

[Shiken]

The Fury said:

pikashoe said:

You're joking right. You realise that plenty of people buy both. It is not that simple at all.

Nintendo have released the replacement for the DS and it's called the Switch... no wait, that's the home console. Wait, Pokemon main line title was on the Switch, not DS. But wait, their mainline Zelda title was also on the Switch.

Switch is a replacement for both markets. Add them up.

The problem with this approach is that...

A. Many people who have been buying Switch have not had any Nintendo device in years, indicating that at the very least it will do better than 3DS and WiiU combined easily.  This is also backed up by record sales for games in already popular IPs, indicating a wider audience is being reached than in the past.

B.  Nintendo hardware sales are unpredictable.  They vary from gen to gen.  Just look at GC and GBA into Wii and DS, and then back to 3DS and WiiU.  Even going back to the SNES and GB will have a unique number at the end.  With that in mind, what gen would we be adding?  Not last gen, due to reason A.

C.  We still have no idea how long this gen will last for Switch.  Could we see a Switch Pro?  We already have a Switch Lite.  We also already had a new base line model for Switch release that lead to double dipping.  Hardware sales in general are never 1 to 1 for any console maker anymore, due to these unforseen variables.

So I see your logic, I really do.  However it does not work nearly as good in practice as you think it does in your head.  If that is all you have to lean on, you will almost certainly be proven wrong in the end.

OT

I feel Switch can be Nintendo's second best selling gaming device, period.  The possibility of it hitting 150+ is soley reliant on reason C, I listed above.