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No way Switch outsells PS4 lifetime, but it will come close. I don't at all understand why anyone is expecting Switch sales to fall off so quickly when there is no evidence pointing to that at all. This is Nintendo's only console on the market at the moment, they plan on supporting it for longer than their past consoles which means a successor in late 2023 at the EARLIEST. If it's getting full support unlike pretty much all of their home consoles since SNES throughout that whole period, which it will, sales will drop but not so much. It'll be above 70m by the end of 2020 already.