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JRPGfan on 19 April 2020
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SvennoJ said:
KiigelHeart said:

Don't think it's doubtful at all. Finland has been doing antibody test on our most infected area and it looks like actual number of infected people might be tens of times more than confirmed cases. I think results are similar in Stockholm.

Virus spreads quickly and vast majority of infected hardly have any symptoms. I'd be surprised if the actual death rate is over 1%.

So far this virus has killed 0.044% of the population in Spain, with containment, the death toll will be adding up for a while still and how many deaths are still uncounted. in Belgium it has killed 0.050% of the population so far.

Spain is currently adding 0.00128% daily to that 0.044% figure, Belgium adds 0.00288% to that 0.050% figure. The lower estimates are coming :/ Is Belgium reaching herd immunity yet? It's adding up fast there.

We dont even have proof you get immunity yet (most assume you do though).
We dont know how long it lasts (in general) if it does.
Even if immunity works, if the virus mutates, then next year, your "herd immunity" might not mean anything.... same problem can hit again.

Thats why I think Sweden is takeing a huge risk.


Infected cases pr 1m:
Belgium : 3,322 / 1,000,000.
Spain : 4,191 / 1,000,000.

Even if you assume, actual numbers are x10 factor higher.
Thats still only 41,000 or 33,000 out of a million people infected (~3-4% overall).