Coronavirus (COVID-19) Discussion Thread

[Nautilus]

Torillian said:

Nautilus said:

Most people, not everyone.Personal experience, mostly I'll admit, based on the evidences.Time of incubation, when the virus started spreading, when the lockdowns around the world were starting to be implemented, and so on.

I mean, I'm not the only one saying this.Can't remember them now, saw plenty on the news, but alot of doctors and researches, including alot of respected ones, have been saying this too.But yeah, I don't have any source to back this up.This part is speculation from my part.

And if your hunch is wrong and we've only infected 20 million (10x the current estimate) the deaths can climb another 2 orders of magnitude. To me I think the risk is not worth it as that would kill roughly 10 million of the 2 billion that would eventually get infected. That's assuming that the death rate remains the same which is unlikely to be the case once the health system gets totally overrun. Once an antibody test is available we can prove whether or not most people already had this and calm things down, but with such a massive possible death toll I don't see how you can come to the conclusion we should stop quarantines based on the possibility (with no evidence) that everyone has/had this already. 

Not stop quarantines per say, but have a better plan.No one here is suggesting to just carry everything as if nothing is happening, but side effects of the medicine can't be worse than the disease itself.Isolate potential groups of risk, demand use of mask and alcohol gel in estabilishments, having a minimum space between people inside said estabilishments, demands that they decrease the number of persons in said place at the same time by half are just some ideas that manage to marriage nicely the idea of preventing people from getting the virus and not nuking the economy completely.

I just want to point out how innacurate most projections have been thus far about the number od deaths/infected.You can say that it is because of the lockdown but I'm skeptical.