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SvennoJ on 15 April 2020
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This morning's kid's tv is rather dark here. Commercial for some show singing "Ring around the rosie, pocket full of posie, hush hush hush, we all fall down" Good time to bring the black plague to kids attention! Good thing they don't know the origin of the song. Will we have nursery rhymes about the coronavirus in the future?

I updated my growth graphs for Easter weekend. Averages are updated up to and including yesterday's numbers, plotting 3 day average growth and reported deaths accurate up to April 13th (Easter Monday). The Easter effect:






The UK has taken the lead both in daily reported cases and deaths.
Russia is the only country that kept testing at the same pace through Easter weekend.
Norway is still doing the best.

Overall it should all still be going down, just not as much as is currently showing. Some are already starting to catch up on missed cases and deaths, others still showed results from Easter Monday with their Tuesday numbers.


Easter had a strong effect on the whole world:



The USA and Europe are currently almost tied for daily reported cases, Europe still a bit more daily reported cases.
Thanks to the big decrease in daily reporting the USA has now fallen back to 10 days behind Europe when looking at total reported cases.
(It looks like a small decline on the logarithmic scale, went from avg 33K to 27K over the weekend for USA, Europe 37K to 28K)


My different strategies graph



Iran using an algorithm to generate test results....
Canada keeping the curve flat.
Brazil late to respond if at all?
Australia got it down quickly and definitively.
South Korea handling it very well.
China experiencing a little resurgence after re-opening Wuhan.


Breakdown for Canada:



The rest of the provinces are still well under the 1,000 cases total.
Quebec leads with 14.2K reported cases and 435 deaths.
Ontario follow with 8K reported cases and 334 deaths.
British Columbia is on a decline, 1.5K total cases and 72 deaths.
Alberta is going back up a bit, 1.9K total cases and 48 deaths.

The west coast is doing much better than the East coast. It's about time numbers start going down here as well.



Last edited by SvennoJ - on 15 April 2020