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SvennoJ on 12 April 2020
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JRPGfan said:

FDNY (fire deparement new york)

Usually they see ~24 people die to heart attacks, everyday.
Now its "well over" 200 each day.

"not noted down as due to coronavirus"  (dispite majority had symptoms of such)


Also again.... this virus doesnt kill everyone it infects instantly.
You lose a slow drawn out fight to it, over a few weeks.

Outbreak spiked earlier on in europe than it did in the US.
So give it a week or two, you'll likely see matching US numbers.

Unless the effects of those medicine cocktails the president has been mentioning are being used and proven to work.

They wouldn't work this fast, the results of that will also not have an impact for several weeks. And it's probably just small trials for now like this for example
https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa2007016

In this cohort of patients hospitalized for severe Covid-19 who were treated with compassionate-use remdesivir, clinical improvement was observed in 36 of 53 patients (68%). Measurement of efficacy will require ongoing randomized, placebo-controlled trials of remdesivir therapy. (Funded by Gilead Sciences.)

It won't be used widespread until more is known. There is more being tested atm
https://www.livescience.com/coronavirus-covid-19-treatments.html


And yep, deaths lag 2 weeks behind reported cases, but Europe has been sort of steady in reporting for 2 weeks now. 14 days ago the 3 day average was 34K for Europe, yesterday 36K, a bit higher, yet corrections (late received test results) are still having an effect on the running average. Thus averages in the past were a bit too low, and averages atm are a bit too high, relatively speaking. Of course all of the reporting is still too low.


The US is about a week behind Europe. USA crossed the avg 100 reported a day 11 days after Europe did and is currently 8.7 days behind Europe for total reported cases, yet 14.5 days behind for total reported deaths. The USA's reported cases stopped growing for about 7 days now, while Europe has been flattish for about 15 days now.

The upticks in the European data are mainly from France throwing out big numbers with targeted mass testing of nursing homes.

Last edited by SvennoJ - on 12 April 2020