Coronavirus (COVID-19) Discussion Thread

[JRPGfan]

Nighthawk117 said:
Ok, as we await SpokenTruth's daily update...I crunched some numbers for the USA....(rounding them off)

Covid-19:
Total Cases: 500,000
Total Deaths: 20,000
Death rate: 4%

Common Flu (each year):
Likely Cases: 25,000,000
Likely Deaths: 25,000
Death rate: .001%

So, Covid-19 kills vastly more than the common flu. We don't shut down our economy because of the common flu.
Covid-19 is scary shit.

Its hard to say, exactly.
For one, theres likely 5-10 times the amount infected as the "confirmed cases" show.
For another, its still too early to say anything about mortality rates.

Why?

Because out of 500,000+ confirmed infected, only 27,000 have recovered.
About 19,000 have died.

Thats *only* ~46,000 out of the 500,000 confirmed cases.

You cannot assume, that magically people will just stop dieing and the remaining 450,000+ infected will all just magically recover.
So "death rate = 4%" cant be true (for confirmed cases, it ll be higher).