JRPGfan said:
John2290 said:
100k deaths now, in 4 weeks or so it'll likely be approaching one million if not more, however we won't have accurate numbers unless the WHO are planing testing in poorer countries and if India can't get their testing up, we'll likely get estimates weeks after the fact when the annual deaths are super imposed onto years prior, we won't get that on World meters or the large number of people who are living hand to mouth who are going to die from the half assed and forceful measures or the riots, the suicides etc in the same way we don't get the numbers here of the poor sods who gambled at home and turned suddenly into acute illness That's another thing, I'm so surprised immigrated doctors havn't started returning to their home countries en mass, luckily in Ireland we havn't had them up and leave so far. |
You think it goes that high in just 4 weeks? (x10 of current number?)
US might hit 500k confirmed cases too.
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Without social distancing, closing down schools etc, the normal rate for this virus is about x10 every 15 days. x100 in a month.
On average every infected person infects 2.2 other people after 5.2 days. 10.4 days = 4.84 infected. 15.6 days = 10.648 infected, and so on.
4 weeks is x70.25 the current number to be exact.
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