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Top 10 First Half 2019 Switch Famitsu

  1. Smash Ultimate - 779.845
  2. New Super Mario Bros. U Deluxe(2019) - 643.426
  3. Mario Kart 8 Deluxe - 318.492
  4. Pokemon: Let's Go, Pikachu! / Let's Go, Eevee! - 312.278
  5. Minecraft - 305.640
  6. Super Mario Party - 284.170
  7. Splatoon 2 - 224.791
  8. Super Mario Maker 2(2019) - 196.153
  9. Yo-kai Watch 4: We Are Looking Up at the Same Sky(2019) - 191.097
  10. The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild - 168.697

TOTAL: 3.424.589

TOP 10 2020 Switch Famitsu:

  1. Animal Crossing: New Horizons(2020) - 3.031.784 
  2. Pokemon Sword / Shield - 565.407
  3. Ring Fit Adventure - 257.984
  4. Pokemon Mystery Dungeon: Rescue Team DX(2020) - 226.950
  5. Mario Kart 8 Deluxe - 196.092
  6. Minecraft - 194.945
  7. Smash Ultimate - 182.479
  8. Dr. Kawashima's Brain Training for Nintendo Switch - 155.600
  9. Super Mario Party - 126.433
  10. Luigi's Mansion 3 - 120.799

TOTAL: 5.058.473(+48%)

With 12 Week left of this Quarter we are looking at substantial gains in terms of Software compared to first half of last year. 

Top 10 Titles are already 48% up YoY, thanks to potentially the biggest game in Japan of all time Animal Crossing: New Horizons.

  • Animal Crossing could very well sell over >1M in the next 12 Weeks, bringing it's total physical sales over >4M by mid year

But the other thing to highlight: 

  • Ring Fit Adventure continues to not show its true potential due to shortages, expecting at least 500-725K by mid year depending on stock
  • Pokemon Sword / Shield should be around 650-800K
  • Smash Ultimate, Mario Kart 8 Deluxe & Minecraft should all be over 300K
  • Two 2020 games are already in the Top 10, Pokemon Mystery Dungeon also makes it into the top 10, 275-300K by mid-year.
  • Super Mario Party, Splatoon 2 & Dr. Kawashima's Brain Training over 200K
  • Xenoblade Chronicles could make the Top 10

  • Animal Crossing >4M
  • Pokemon Sword / Shield >650K
  • Ring Fit Adventure >600K
  • Mario Kart 8 Deluxe, Minecraft, Smash Ultimate, Pokemon Mystery Dungeon >275K
  • Super Mario Party >250K
  • Splatoon 2, Xenoblade Chronicles, Dr. Kawashima's Brain Training >200K

TOTAL >7M(+100%)

Overall there might be some other games I'm forgetting, but that's the most likely Top 10 by mid year. 

Trials of Mana being the one I can think of right now, but not too sure that could sell 200K on the Switch.

Top 10 Software Sales will be 100% up YoY minimum, since I think I might actually be underestimating Animal Crossing and Ring Fit Adventure as well as the boost other evergreen software will sell. But that's only if Nintendo can maintain Hardware supply during the next 12 weeks. I honestly think the average could easily be >75K Hardware Sales per week for then next 12 weeks. Thats a minimum of >900K Hardware for what is one of the slowest periods of the year in Japan in recent years. Last year they sold >426K for the same period, so 75K average would be a 111% increase YoY for Q2. Due to much higher sales MK8D, Minecraft, Smash, SMP, Splat 2 & many others will all end up sailing past my minimum predictions.  

Last edited by noshten - on 09 April 2020