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haxxiy on 01 April 2020
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SpokenTruth said:
haxxiy said:

In the Northern Hemisphere, 90% of Flu cases typically occur during a 14-week span between late December and mid March, so it's more like 370 deaths a day with peaks around perhaps 740 - 1,110 or so for an average season.

Accordingly, if 70% of the population was infected with the Flu in a few months, instead of some 10%, that'd be 2,590 and 5,600 - 7,000 deaths a day respectively, and some ~ 2.5 million hospitalizations.

Why the hypothetical? The flu won't infect 70% because that's not realistic infection rate. 

But let's say we take your worst realistic daily rate of 1,100.  We just had 4,373 die from Covid-19 today.  That's 4x more deaths than your worst realistic case.  And it's going to get much higher.  

How many must die before you will take this seriously?  Give me a number.  Does it have to kill someone you know?

I'm talking about the US only. Globaly, considering the population of the northern hemisphere where you have significant winters, it would be ten times higher. 4,373 people didn't die of Covid in the US today, did they? It might get to that, but it's not there yet.

Besides, I was pointing out an infection that would spread more or less the same as Covid would before herd immunity. It wouldn't have to be worse than the average flu to have very large numbers of daily deaths. You just need the population not to have cross immunity to it as we have to the over ~ 200 influenzavirus strains that are out there.

Also, lol @ your last argument. Is appealing to emotion, not data, your last resort? Who even said I'm not taking it seriously? Not to mention, since when whatever I think about the disease would affect whether someone I know dies or lives from it? Or do you believe I'm telling people to break the lockdown and lick doorknobs and toilet seats? Or maybe that my opinion, or your imagination of my opinion, affects how their immune systems would respond in some weird cosmic karma way.

What a lame "gotcha" if I ever seen one.