SvennoJ said:
vivster said:
No one actually ever said that. And no one ever claimed that the virus is less infectious to younger people. What we do see is an incredibly low chance for younger people to develop severe symptoms compared to older people. Like, incredibly low. Low enough to take a chance. Which leads to the correct conclusion that the vast majority of young people has absolutely nothing to fear from the virus. And no singular cases of younger people in ICUs will change that fact.
The statistic you posted even proves that. You see way more older cases because they are more likely to develop serious symptoms and are as such more likely to get tested. It is fair to assume that just as many young people, if not more, are infected by the virus as older people.
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What do you consider young and incredibly low. I consider anyone under 40 young nowadays lol.
Absolutely nothing to fear is a bit of a stretch. Driving all year gives you about a 0.6 / 18 = 0.033% chance to die in a car accident every year. (Estimate of getting in an accident once every 18 years based on car insurance data, about 0.6% of car accidents lead to one or more fatalities) Of course you have more control over your own fate while driving (and many minor collisions never get reported, so that estimate is also still high)
So yep, under 20, only 1 in 300 chance to have to go to the hospital and less deadly than driving. However a good chance you end up killing someone else by spreading it on :/
This is however good for a country like India where the average age is 28.
With 70% of the population getting infected still over 2 million people will die :( However that's less than the estimate for the US 2.2 million with only a quarter of the population.
Anyway in our western society, average retirement age is 62. A large part of the workforce can be effected, not just sick old people. 1 in 10 chance to end up in the hospital aren't good odds for your experienced staff.
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I assume those numbers are based on confirmed cases. If we consider that especially among younger people there are way more unreported cases those numbers really are laughable for anyone under 40. Also not included in those stats are additional health issues like smoking, obesity asthma etc. Which brings down the hospitalization rate for young and healthy people down even further and the fatality rate close to zero. So pretty much what is expected.
I'm well aware of the ramifications of this virus and I wouldn't recommend to any young person to leave their house for any non essential reason. I just don't like the increased dramatization of "OH LOOK, THERE IS A SICK YOUNG PERSON! THAT MEANS THE VIRUS WILL KILL EVERYONE!" when that's incredibly far from the truth.
Last edited by vivster - on 31 March 2020
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