SvennoJ on 30 March 2020
| John2290 said: @Svennohj @Ka-pi96, I'll reply when my hands are free. @OP, Just wanted to express how utterly fucked Idia and South Africa are. There is going to me twns of millions dead there and other third world countries, They are getting the worst case scenario up front and with no ability to suppress. It's terrifying to watch. |
The spread will be slower there and less lethal. More remote areas, less travel in between, much lower average age. But indeed also much less access to healthcare. Compared to other outbreaks they're dealing with regularly over there, this one is pretty benign. The average age in Inda is about 28.1, Italy 45.5. South Africa it's 27.1. However families live more tight nit together so anyone that did manage to get old is at risk...
(Of course even though it's almost 4x less lethal in a do nothing scenario compared to NA, the absolute numbers will still be higher :/)
Good news, Italy is posting lower numbers again and recoveries are going up. Now it's waiting for the active case peak to arrive.
