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supermattia10 on 28 March 2020
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JRPGfan said:

this scares me abit:

^
blue is the "avg" last 5years,
Green is the offical numbers of deaths confirmed to be caused by corona virus in italy,
and the "red" is how many just happended to die dueing this periode.

This is from italy.


https://www.corriere.it/politica/20_marzo_26/the-real-death-toll-for-covid-19-is-at-least-4-times-the-official-numbers-b5af0edc-6eeb-11ea-925b-a0c3cdbe1130.shtml?refresh_ce-cp

The article's name is "The real death toll for Covid-19 is at least 4 times the official numbers"


"Nembro, in the province of Bergamo, is the municipality most affected by Covid-19 in relation to the population. We do not know exactly how many people have been infected, but we know that the number of deaths officially attributed to Covid-19 is 31. We are two physicists: one who became an entrepreneur in the health sector, the other a mayor, in close contact with a very cohesive territory, where we know each other very well. We noticed that something in these official numbers did not come back right, and we decided - together - to check. We looked at the average of the deaths in the municipality of previous years, in the period January - March. Nembro should have had - under normal conditions - about 35 deaths. 158 people were registered dead this year by the municipal offices. That is 123 more than the average. Not 31 more, as it should have been according to the official numbers of the coronavirus epidemic."


Unusual spike in deaths, is noticed. Not counted as covid19 in stats though.

On the same source it says that in the only city of Bergamo there have been 1128 deaths between January and last week... +500 than average...

Now, considering that in the city of Bergamo there are 100.000 people... is like if literally in three months 0.5% (500 people) of the population was killed by the virus... and only 48 of them are confirmed ones;

Now in total they are 70... so maybe further 100 hidden death cases by Covid?... the situation is very tragic... and maybe today italy will hit 10K confirmed deaths, maybe the real number of deaths in Italy are two or three times higher...

Last edited by supermattia10 - on 28 March 2020