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SvennoJ said:
JRPGfan said:

It turns out our goverment (in denmark) is/was being silly.

Why didnt we test more? apparently because we were trying for a "soft" herd immunity buildup.
We didnt even really "try" to stop this thing in its tracks.... apparently they thought that would be impossible.

Takeing about waves of this thing returning, and how the first wave will be the worst but not the end of it, so its important to get the less at risk, to build up herd immunity.
Facking hell.... even in denmark, we re likely going to sacrifice our elderly for the economy (though in a controlled manner).

source: https://politiken.dk/forbrugogliv/sundhedogmotion/art7727704/K%C3%A5re-M%C3%B8lbak-er-uenig-med-WHO-Det-er-%C2%BBtotalt-pass%C3%A9%C2%AB-at-indd%C3%A6mme-smitten


"thats just it, this is the problem with what WHO is saying,. They imagine that you can contain all cases of infection, however I believe that to be wrong" - Kåre Mølbæk.

"at best state serium institute, believe we can halve the transmitting, following the shutdown meassures we've taken, and thus have the "curve" flatten out, which will allow for the hospitals to keep up with it"

"if we tried to follow WHO sayings, we wouldnt reach any meaningfull sort of herd immunity, were a large enough amount of people get the infection and build up herd immunity, and thereby become immune to the virus in the future. If we did that, we would risk a secound wave, following to potentially be just as bad as this first one"

About home isolation:

"precisely, they shouldn't bring the infection outsides, infecting others outsides their home. However thats not the goal of the danish strategi, we dont want to stop infection. We need to build up a certain amount of herd immunity, this is a common goal amoungst all of europe"

"if we do this right, the virus wont be makeing a return"



Reporter: You say the infection cannot be contained.... why?

"You can, in the start of a infection chain. There you could try to contain it, as long as there is a very limited spread and your sure you can find everyone infected. However this is a illness that often has very mild symptoms, and you cannot with certainty identify, easily if a person has Covid19, it might well be other possible breathing related illnesses"

reporter: If we had gotten hold of all the early infected, these people that went on holidays, skiing in italy...and all their contacts, could we have done so?

"Yes, but then the infection would have just gotten in some other way"

reporter: How can you be so sure? this is hard to understand, why didnt you try?

"Because its too infectious, and it infects before you have any symptoms. There is nothing characteristic, thats easy to "know" this illness on. The problem with some of these experts from WHO, is that they are takeing their experiance from fighting SARS and Polio and other illnesses to this, ignoreing that this illness is differnt, it has no easily spotted characteristic patern. Therefor theres no way around it, we need to build up a certain herd immunity in our population. The first wave will be the worst, and the next will be milder, and at some point 40-60% will have gotten it, it will find a balance and end up a natural infection amoung all others"


Reporter: What exactly is it WHO arnt right in, when they say isolate and test everyone?

"How is that ever going to happend in a country like india? or in a country on the african continent? I cannot for the life of me, see it, not with the resources they have. Thats something possible probably only in small island societies or extremely reource rich societies. However if you look at "whole" continents, thats never going to be a real option. The virus outbreaks will keep comeing on and on. You would need to make a form of border countroll, that tested for immunities or sickness, before entry. Even if such a thing sounds do-able, its actually not something possible to put into practis on a global scale, in the world we live in"



This is what you see in the UK too, they also went for a herd immunity route.
Sweden as well.. hell I suspect even in the US.

Why did trump go on tv and say :
"dont worry people, its only 15 infected, a week from now, the numbers will drop, they ll recover, its like a miracle, it ll be gone"


He was probably told, to say something calming to the people, so it would start to spread.
perphaps all the larger nations / continents, are chooseing a controlled herd immunity strategy.

Where's the evidence you actually build up immunity for a second wave?

It's a rather huge gamble (while sacrificing the elderly) on an assumption that it likely works like earlier corona viruses.

So were they being silly, or still going through with herd immunity?

It sounds stupid to me too.

I think it was "always" the plan, but to do it slowly, so you can handle it (hospital loads).
Atleast thats what this guy from SSI is saying in this article.

So far, I think theres no solid evidence that you can get it again, after you've had it.
You had a few cases of people that where "recovered" (but still had the virus) and it popped back up.
But so far the belief (as I understand it) is once you have it, you have immunity for a periode of time.

The thing that gets me though, is how pessimistic he sounds in stopping it in its tracks.

"So were they being silly, or still going through with herd immunity?"

If you follow the media on tv, you would believe differntly than what this scientist is saying.
You would think their doing everything they can to slow or stop the spread.

we re now able to test 5,000+ pr day for the infection.
In a small country of only 6,7 million inhabitans.

Also we re in full shutdown and have been for awhile.
So maybe this was just the plan at first... and now its "full breaks" we gonna stop or slow this thing? I dont know.

Last edited by JRPGfan - on 27 March 2020