The current avg growth rate in the USA is 1.25x (based on the last 5 days)
The growth rate for Italy is now 0.93x, the measures have taken effect
The USA will soon pass Italy
March 24 54916
March 25 68791 (+13875)
March 26 86135 (+17344)
Italy
March 24 69176
March 25 74058 (+4882)
March 26 78598 (+4540)
The current growth rate in the US (not averaged) is only 1.09x, testing reaching capacity again maybe, I doubt any measures have taken effect yet.
With the current lower growth rate (mean propagation of the virus is 1.16x so probably reporting too low atm)
March 24 54916
March 25 67015 (+12099)
March 26 80203 (+13188)
Doesn't matter, Thursday USA will over take Italy and China Friday by the latest. Nr 1 by the end of the week :/