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SvennoJ said:
JRPGfan said:
"If Italy follows the same pattern, active case load will keep climbing until April 3rd and the deaths won't come down much until April 10th :("

Hopefully thinks dont develop that badly.
That sounds like you think theres like 13,000+ more deaths to come in italy over the next 2 weeks or so.

Its already taken almost 7000 there.
If this outbreak goes on for months to come, its gonna get depressing real quick.

The most frightening thing from the Chinese data is that the death count up until the growth reversal was less than 20% of the total deaths there now. I really hope it turns out differently or that China counted deaths very differently. Italy was already up to 4,800 on March 21st. China was only at 563 on Februari 5th.

The virus mutates rapidly.
On island (which isnt that big) they alone found over 40 differnt strands of CoVid19.
They even found a person with 2 differnt infections of the virus (a early strand and a lateron mutated one).

Maybe the version in China wasnt as bad as what rest of the world are now seeing?