I plotted the growth factors of different countries. Each point is an average from the 2 days ahead and behind hence the graph is 2 days behind. The line thickness is determined by the nr of daily cases. (Thinnest < 100, 2 pixels 100 to 999, 3 pixels 1000 to 9999, thickest > 10000)
China's data is messed up from reclassifying the cases, but Februari 5th seems to have been the turning point where the growth started to go below one.
As of March 21st, Italy and Germany started to go under 1.0
Iran is a weird one, staying pretty much consistent at around 1100 new cases a day, up and down a bit.
The others seem to have some Monday catch up count, everything was lower on Sunday, now coming back.
The black line is the world average.
The growth order on March 21st, global avg was 1.09 (7 days to double)
Canada 1.29
USA 1.28
France 1.17
Spain 1.12
UK 1.06
Iran 1.02
Germany 0.96
Italy 0.97
South Korea 0.89
Looking at today's numbers, Italy is the only one continuing the decline. Finally going down!
The others are all going up again. It seems Canada is finally getting tests up to speed as well.
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