Coronavirus (COVID-19) Discussion Thread

[SvennoJ]

Bofferbrauer2 said:

Snoopy said:

Most people who get the flu won't need a sick bed or a respirator. Only people who needs it will be the elderly or people with weak immune system. I actually got the flu earlier this year and I just stayed home for about a week and I was fine just like most people.  Also, most people who are dying are the elderly and infants who should stay home like I said before.

https://www.statnews.com/2020/03/16/lower-coronavirus-death-rate-estimates/

Younger persons don't die so long as there are enough medical supplies. But I've seen persons in their 20's on ventilators due to Coronavirus, as it can become severe enough for any age group to be needing these.

The difference between a teen with a ventilator and an elderly person with it is that an elderly person would be hit so hard that even with the ventilator, his chances would be slim while for the tween, the ventilator ensures his survival.

That doesn't seem to be the case according to the imperial college's study.

Once it gets so bad you move on to the ICU, your survival chance are about 50% no matter the age group.

I calculated their stats through, notice how expected deaths are pretty much always half of expected ICU cases

0 to 9 -> 3.8 million people, 70% infected 2.66 million, 2.6K in the hospital, 53 in ICU (50 dead)
10 to 19 -> 3.7 million people, 70% infected 2.59 million, 7.8K in the hospital, 388 in ICU (155 dead)
20 to 29 -> 4.4 million people, 70% infected 3.08 million, 37K in the hospital, 1800 in ICU (924 dead)
30 to 39 -> 4.6 million people, 70% infected 3.22 million, 103K in the hospital, 5150 in ICU (2570 dead)
40 to 49 -> 4.4 million people, 70% infected 3.08 million, 151K in the hospital, 9500 in ICU (4620 dead)
50 to 59 -> 4.7 million people, 70% infected 3.29 million, 336K in the hospital, 40940 in ICU (19714 dead)
60 to 69 -> 3.4 million people, 70% infected 2.38 million, 395K in the hospital, 108250 in ICU (52360 dead)
70 to 79 -> 2.8 million people, 70% infected 1.96 million, 476K in hospital, 206K in ICU (100K dead)
88 to 99 -> 1.5 million people, 70% infected 1.05 million, 287K in hospital, 203K in ICU (98K dead)

It could be of course that younger people heal quicker and don't need a ventilator for as long, while on the other hand older people die faster not occupying a ventilator for that long :/