Hiku said:
|
After a first approach of this growth-rate, it would seem something very negative, however this growth is more logistic than exponential; maybe it has been led by a daily massive number of tests, which is a very positive result.
1)If you do one day 20K tests and find 6K cases and the next day with the same number of tests 7K cases, this is negative.
2)If you do one day 20K tests and find 6K cases and the next day with 40K 10K cases, this is positive.
Now I don't know the number of daily tests in US but, if it is something like 2) scenario, this will lead US to a curve very similar to that of S.Korea(<100K cases at the end), if instead it is something like 1), this will lead US to a curve very similar to that of Italy(>100K cases at the end).
Last edited by supermattia10 - on 21 March 2020
