Coronavirus (COVID-19) Discussion Thread

[SvennoJ]

Another day passed. The average global growth factor for the last seven days was 1.18

I ranked the countries with over 1,000 cases (and a couple close to 1,000) on avg growth during the past 7 days:
The number between brackets is the rank on total nr cases (excluding China)

[05] US: 1.39 (doubles every 2.1 days)
[21] Brazil: 1.34
[19] Portugal: 1.32
[16] Canada: 1.26 (doubles every 3.0 days)
[08] Switzerland: 1.26
[03] Germany: 1.25
[18] Australia: 1.24
[24] Ireland: 1.21
[12] Belgium: 1.20
[11] Austria: 1.20
[10] Netherlands: 1.19 (double every 4.0 days)
[09] UK: 1.19
[02] Spain: 1.14 (doubles every 5.8 days)
[06] France: 1.12 (doubles every 6.0 days)
[17] Malaysia: 1.11
[01] Italy: 1.10 (doubles every 7.0 days)
[14] Sweden: 1.03
[13] Norway: 1.03
[15] Denmark: 1.01
[04] Iran: 1.00
[07] South Korea: 0.97

Testing ramping up or running into capacity issues last week will have its effect of course. So far only South Korea is showing a consistent decline.
Italy has been on lock down for a week and might actually be declining already since they've vastly increased their testing capacity in the past couple days skewing the numbers. France is also on total lock down but I don't know what the status is of testing there, it's working.

Sweden, Norway, Denmark, Canada, Maleysia, Australia, Portugal, Brazil and Ireland all don't have that much consistency in the data yet. But it's safe to say Canada, Brazil and Portugal need to step up their game, as well as the US. Switzerland's testing is also not that consistent but definitely still growing fast.

Based on these trends, the top 5 tomorrow would look like:
[01] Italy: 53545 (+6525)
[05] US: 27158 (+7776)
[02] Spain: 25554 (+3983)
[03] Germany: 25508 (+5660)
[04] Iran: 20881 (+1237)

Last edited by SvennoJ - on 21 March 2020