| John2290 said: China and singapore among a few other are the only nations in the world in any position to help right now and they, at least China are doing so in Italy, to what degree they can is diminished by the need to keep on track of their second wave and get prepared but in fact Italy will be reaching it's peak over this weekend and be coming down the other side this week if quarantine was obeyed. India is the nation most in need right now for help from catastrophe, although I don't know if anyone can do anything. Regardless we are all going into this shit in the next few weeks, some sooner than others. China, Singapore etc are the only ones in a position to help during the spring. The west may be in that position in the summer but east or west, preparedness needs to be balance with what ever help can be given to others. |
The peak could still be 2 weeks from now, which means the number of active cases could still more than double.
The predictions on the peak of the coronavirus "the experts do, surely it is right to do them but then we have to see if they are confirmed by the facts. Maybe the peak will not arrive next week but the one after. Everyone says that we are going towards the peak and we hope that both as soon as possible ". This was said by the commissioner for the management of the coronavirus emergency Angelo Borrelli to the microphones of Rai Radio2 during the transmission 'I Lunatici'.
https://www.adnkronos.com/fatti/cronaca/2020/03/20/coronavirus-borrelli-picco-forse-tra-settimane_zWIZ0rAv8UTWSfhPlrpNBP.html
There are 2 peaks, first the new daily cases per day peaks and starts to diminish (which is hard to tell when exactly with test capacity continually increasing and/or not being able to keep up). Then the active case load peak which is more important, the maximum number of people sick at the same time. For China that peak was almost 2 weeks later. I assume he's talking about the later peak, which would mean that the increase in new daily cases has already stopped and the increase we're currently seeing is all from extra testing. So the new daily cases peak on March 15th, putting the active case load peak at around March 28th. But without tight quarantine it can be dragged out longer.
Then the after math. Just now another passenger from the Diamond Princess died from complications, 6 weeks after the ship went into quarantine.
https://www.ctvnews.ca/health/coronavirus/canadian-dies-in-japan-from-covid-19-complications-1.4861295
177 cases are still active with 14 serious/critical. This won't be over soon :(
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