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S.Peelman on 20 March 2020
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NightlyPoe said:
SpokenTruth said:

3/19: US-Italy Chart plus other updates - (NightlyPoe is excused from tonight's meeting).

The US has definitely entered an exponential phase of new cases having gained 4,530.  That is 33% of the current total cases in 1 day. We have now moved more than 3 days ahead of Italy from the original alignment. If this rate maintains, we will pass Italy and China in total cases in about a week.  The nightly reporting gap is already 526 new cases - equal to a our daily total from 6 days ago.

Italy itself gained 5,322 new cases.  Thankfully, they are slowing down. An absolutely welcome sign for the region. Especially given that their death toll has now eclipsed the published figures for China.

Switzerland may be the next country in trouble as they increased by more than 1,100 new cases today.  That's 25% of their total.  The numbers are unfortunately sizable for the population.  The same rate of increase and scale applies to Austria and Luxembourg.

36% of all Israeli cases were reported today though it still represents a low proportion of their population.

This is a daily reminder that the comparisons between the United States and Italy do not make sense as they are two countries of vastly different proportions.  Please watch the clusters, not the bottom-line numbers.

Sorry but this is getting a bit annoying.