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John2290 said:
SvennoJ said:

Dying happens a lot sooner than recovery. With the case load growing exponentially (and thus deaths as well) it's normal for the death rate in closed cases to grow. Recoveries won't catch up until several weeks after the growth rate falls below 1.0. It's over 6 weeks after quarantine started on the Diamond princess and 25% of cases still don't have an outcome.

However deaths / total cases is also lagging behind while the growth is still positive. But heavily depends on actually detecting all new cases.

Then the death rate is heavily skewed as well by the age distribution of those that get infected. Italy already has the same amount of deaths as China with half the detected cases. (Or will, I expect Italy to overtake China today :/)

It's still disconcerting to see it rise so fast in such a short period of time, I know it will fall again when this is over for western nations as long as things aren't too much for the health systems. 

Oh and I've read that the critical rate in the US among people under 30 is higher than the rest of the world, I wonder if there is a way to explain that. Young people are just spreading it more perhaps?

Health care is expensive in the US. It could simply be that people with mild symptoms don't go in for testing. If only people that are already pretty ill go in, then the critical rate will be skewed. Plus there's the prevalent notion that young people don't get corona or are all fine in a couple days. Another reason to stick it out at home hopefully or even ignore it and only go in when it gets bad.



I just came back from my weekly shopping, shopping for 2 households. It was more like the usual quiet Thursday morning, mostly the regulars in the store. They now have hand sanitizer at the check out (but not at the carts doh) and the cashiers are wearing gloves. As for stock, salad was low, no fresh meat at all only vacuum packed previously frozen pork tenderloin, ribs and bacon. Toilet paper isle was still empty but they had pallets of big packs on sale, limit 2 per customer. The pasta isle was almost bare, hardly and pasta or sauce left. Flour was also gone, yet bread was all stocked. The rest all looked pretty normal, except when I glanced in the back portion of the store, the storage area looked pretty empty. However hardly any lines, just people shopping like normal, just wiping down the cart handles which really should be standard practice anyway.

One drastic change is the gas prices here. It used to be CAD 1.31 per liter, today it was CAD 0.77 per liter.