Coronavirus (COVID-19) Discussion Thread

[Pyro as Bill]

SvennoJ said:

Pyro as Bill said:

I was using the numbers from the Italian and South Korean studies which have no-one under 30 dying and have lower percentages than China for 30-39yr olds. I wouldn't be so blase about 0.2%.

If we knew the probability of a more deadly mutation then 0.2% could be a no-brainer assuming it offers some immunity.

https://www.statista.com/statistics/1103023/coronavirus-cases-distribution-by-age-group-italy/
No one under 30 dying in Italy? Where did you get that from.

So far 1.1% of deaths are in 0-18 year age group, 24.3% in 19 to 50 year age group.

Assuming the 3.4% overall (Still used by the WHO) is correct:
0-18 have a 0.037% risk of death
19-50 have a 0.85% risk of death

Now maybe the over all risk is only 2%, that's still 0.02% for 18 and under according to what we know so far.
Maybe it's 1% over all, that's under a thousand deaths under 18 in the UK, yet still about 33 thousand between 20 and 50 (if the rest that need critical care can actually be saved)

China and Italy are the best statistics we have so far, over 6,000 deaths combined. South Korea only has 93 deaths so far, far too little for a statistical analysis.

The statista link you posted is cases not deaths.