Coronavirus (COVID-19) Discussion Thread

[haxxiy]

NightlyPoe said:

haxxiy said:

Is it that absurd, though? Average time of deterioration to critical condition is about 11 days, and to death about 14 days, counting from when the symptoms begin. Is 300 to 1,000 deaths like Italy being replicated in Ohio in two or three weeks time really that unfeasible, considering how things are going?

That would be assuming that, somehow, almost all 100,000 infections happened this morning.

Not necessarily, but 90% could have been in the last seven days, and anything before lost in the vague ocean of "respiratory illness" or "flu-like illness". People aren't usually tested for viruses when they die from these, and secondary pneumonia from Covid-19 can easily outlast the viral infection.