Coronavirus (COVID-19) Discussion Thread

[haxxiy]

NightlyPoe said:

haxxiy said:

The Covid-19 strains have been sequenced already on most countries and are almost identical everywhere. For some reason, people think viral evolution is like Pokémon and happens in quantum leaps that would suddenly make the disease worse or better.

Well, not that much of a quantum leap anyway.  My point wasn't to actually entertain the notion, it was to demonstrate how absurd a 100,000 in the state of Ohio estimate was.

If it were that benign, we wouldn't care how far and wide it spread.  We're not that lucky.

Is it that absurd, though? Average time of deterioration to critical condition is about 11 days, and to death about 14 days, counting from when the symptoms begin. Is 300 to 1,000 deaths like Italy being replicated in Ohio in two or three weeks time really that unfeasible, considering how things are going?