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haxxiy on 12 March 2020
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NightlyPoe said:
useruserB said:

100,000 infections in a state with 5 confirmed cases and zero deaths?

I'm going to put my doubting hat on.  I mean, it'd be awesome if it were true.  It would basically mean that the strain of the disease spreading through the United States is relatively benign.

The Covid-19 strains have been sequenced already on most countries and are almost identical everywhere. For some reason, people think viral evolution is like Pokémon and happens in quantum leaps that would suddenly make the disease worse or better.

I still stand by what I've said from the beginning: all infectious diseases are massively undertracked and this is no different. I think the statistical impossibility of having so many high-profile cases, travel-related transmission and now community transmission are all proving this point.

It happened even in the Diamond Princess, where they supposedly had to carefully test everyone. Besides the ~ 750 confirmed cases, of which half had no symptoms, a further 800 were released from quarantine early and only later believed to have been mild / assymptomatic carriers. Where and how are they now? No one knows.