John2290 said:
It's lilely exponential til it reachs 40% of the population at least (or 60% depending on expert predictions) or the walls of a quarantine and any quarantine now isn't going to show effects for 2 weeks at least before it starts to slow anything. Tommorows numbers may be a magnitude greater provided they are still testing on the same level. 20-25% of people are going to hospital for this? In Italy? Perhaps they are urged to do so by doctors for observation? |
Its like any influenca, even if the virus varies in strength, how people react to it varies from person to person as well.
Some people will have constant vomiting, dirrea, no strength, a hard time breatheing, coughing fits ect.
Others will just spend time in bed, resting in their own house, and be fine (with maybe milder symptoms).
Some will get so sick, that if they dont rest in a hospital, where they are looked after, they risk dieing.
if thats like 20-25% of the people that get this, then it ll fill up the hospitals in the nearby area's (of the outbreak) quick.
Once bedspace runs out, thats when death rates skyrocket.
Not to mention, if hospitals are overworked it might effect how well they deal with the other type of things a hospital normally deals with.
ei. other types of patience in hospitals might be effected too... and indirectly die beacuse of coronavirus.
Thats why China did that whole "we ll build a hospital with bedspace in 10days!" type of thingy.
