| John2290 said: Hope your father will be okay, tell him to buy plenty of toilet paper, I hear they say a 24 pack protects you against the virus... I kid. 2 to 3 months, man, Italy has a long way to go yet but I'd have to imagine that is based on Chinas insane response. Not gonna happen in the west, look at italys apparent hard quarantine which is a soft quarantine compared to what China set up. I believe it was three weeks ago that Italy had 3 confirmed cases, so at least 4 weeks for us but yeah, you're right, to many factors to gauge esspecially here when St Patricks day on the 17th will bring in travellers from every country on Earth. Time will tell. |
The 2 to 3 months prediction is the doomsday scenario where 40% of the population is infected :( China was expected to reach that stage early May if they had not done what they did.
The schools are staying open for now in Holland. Closing them (as well as daycare or what would be the point otherwise) would force many parents to stay home from work, good against the virus, but not deemed necessary/viable yet. Actually it's illegal to keep your kids home if you can't show they are sick.
It seems we'll always be 2 steps behind the virus if we keep going like this. For example that new case in Toronto was imported from Colorado 6 days ago, while the travel advice is just catching on to Italy... The list has grown again today to China, Hong Kong, Iran, Japan, Northern Italy, Singapore, South Korea. The Dutch advice doesn't mention Japan yet. It's probably different in every country :/
School closures work, if done on time.
https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/06/opinion/coronavirus-schools-closed.html
This 2 to 14 day incubation period with a disease that looks like a normal flu is the killer.
