numberwang on 08 March 2020
After one month of media coverage we have learned some things:
- The virus is rapidly declining in China with less than 20K active case remaining
- The growth rate of death is linear not exponential
- The growth rate of new infections is linear as well with the exception of Italy + Iran (a statistical phenomenon because they increased testing recently)
- Germany reports no death and nearly no serious cases for some reason
- Death rate is 1% on the cruise ship (best controlled data) with mostly older people
- Death rate in Korea (best surveillance and data nation-wide) is 0.6% overall, mostly older + preconditioned patients
- Regular flu season will come to an end soon and this might help with covid too
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/
