By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close
SpokenTruth said:

A quick 2016-2020 comparison after Super Tuesday.


2016:
Clinton - 511 delegates
Sanders - 348 delegates

2020:
Biden - 627 delegates
Sanders - 551 delegates

Sanders is much closer to Biden in 2020 than he was to Clinton in 2016. And they still have 153 delegates to dole out from California, Colorado, and Utah...3 states Sanders won.  Alabama, North Carolina, and Tennessee have 9 left to dole out.

Theoretically, they may be tied right now and we just don't know it.

In fact, let's do some math and proportion the remaining delegates based on current delegates.

Utah - 13 delegates remain. 
Sanders gained 12 of the 16 already given. He should gain 10 more (rounded up).
Biden gained 2 of the 16 already given. He should gain 2 more (rounded up)

Colorado - 28 delegates remain. 
Sanders gained 20 of the 39 already given. He should gain 14 more (rounded down).
Biden gained 9 of the 39 already given. He should gain 6 more (rounded down).

California - 112 delegates remain.
Sanders gained 167 of the 303 already given. He should gain 62 more (rounded up).
Biden gained 116 of the 303 already given. He should gain 43 (rounded up).

Alabama - 3 delegates remain.
Sanders gained 7 of the 49 already given. He should gain 0 (rounded down).
Biden gained 41 of the 49 already given. He should gain 3 (rounded up).

North Carolina - 4 delegates remain.
Sanders gained 36 of the 106 already given. He should gain 1 (rounded down).
Biden gained 66 of the 106 already given. He should gain 2 (rounded down).

Tennessee - 2 delegates remain.
Sanders gained 18 of the 62 already given. He should gain 0 (rounded down).
Biden gained 33 of the 62 already given. He should gain 1 (rounded down).

Potential tally:
Biden - 684.
Sanders - 638.

That's a narrowing of the gap from 76 delegates to 46 delegates.  That 2016 Super Tuesday number was after all were counted. So a 163 delegate gap in 2016 to a potential gap of 46. 

Of course, every bit of this could be way off due to the nature of delegates and how it all works.

As far as I can remember California wasn't part of 2016 Super Tuesday. I don't think you can't compare both numbers.