Coronavirus (COVID-19) Discussion Thread

[haxxiy]

SvennoJ said:

haxxiy said:

If we just look at the stats for today (so far) 36 new deaths, 1716 new cases (Before China got added, this is all outside China)
That's 2.1%. The reported stats may be too low, however the deaths lag up to 3 weeks behind. 1% is certainly possible, but cnbc claiming 0.2% to 0.4%, nothing even suggests anything close to that.

A Harvard epidemiologist estimated it at 40% to 70% worldwide infection rate.
https://thehill.com/changing-america/well-being/prevention-cures/482794-officials-say-the-cdc-is-preparing-for

The USA is also more at risk since the CDC stated that among other things, those with diabetes (9.4% in USA), obesity (31%, 7.6% severe) and older people (25% over 60) are at high risk. (However the average age in the USA is actually not that high, Japan, Germany and Italy are at the top)

Luckily people won't all get it at the same time, but hospital stay can be long as well. Better slow it down while we can, spread it out as long as possible.

Smoking probably affect the statistics a lot as well.

74% of male Chinese are smokers, compared to only 8% of women. No wonder, then, three times more men than women were dying there.

Edit - that also bodes ill for Eastern Europe and the Middle East.