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SvennoJ on 02 March 2020
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haxxiy said:
SvennoJ said:

Definitely, 5 new deaths reported today in the USA. Best medical system (so they claim) in the world yet people can't afford to go to the doctor with what looks like the flu initially. Nobody died yet in Germany and only 2 serious cases out of 165 detected. The number for the US is very much under reported / undetected.

CNBC reporting the death rate may only be 0.2%. Hmm yeah sure, they must know better than the CDC and WHO

The US seriously botching the response to this. Not as bad as Iran, but still... even Japan who is reluctant to test mild or unrelated cases is doing better.

As for the 0.2%, no idea. The closest I can imagine is something like considering the Diamond Princess a case of complete viral penetrance and then extrapolating from 7 deaths among over 4,000 "exposed" persons, or perhaps those estimates that Iran had up to 55,000 undiagnosed cases based on how often it had been transmitted to other countries and party officials with just a few cases.

A lot of people were repatriated from the Diamond Princess and died back home or are still seriously ill :/

I figured the serious/critical rate was about 5% based on the Diamond Princess, which is still at 18% based on available total stats. Does it really matter though, we hardly have enough beds to get through a regular flu season. Putting 5% of the population in hospitals is going to be a problem. It needs to be slowed down.