Is Bidens campaign dead? (EDIT: Well, this was turned around completely.)

[Bofferbrauer2]

Dulfite said:

SpokenTruth said:

I don't buy this narrative because it ignores the increase in new voters.

Nevada caucus turnout was way higher than the 2016 turnout by 25% (84,000 in 2016 vs nearly 105,000 in 2020). 

Given that 45% of the voting age population didn't even vote in the general election of 2016, seems to me like it makes far more sense to target them than to appease a fractional slice of independents and moderate Republicans that might flip to Trump.

Primary season always brings out the more extremes in the party, so just because there were more doesn't mean there will be more come general election. And if that is the case, then Trump will also be aided by that as he had extremely high turnout for an incumbant compared to Obama and Bush at least in Iowa (haven't checked NH or Nev yet).

Also, while Bernie appeals to typically non voting youths, he is very unappealing to typically voting elderly or middle aged people. So much so that that many of them will vote for third party, not at all, or Trump. If you go after one demographic you tend to alienate at least another one.

Well, those vote mostly Republican anyway. It's on the fence with Xers (about 50:50), but Boomers and Silent have a much higher tendency to vote republican than democrat anyway. So having a candidate that caters to those people but leaves out the younger ones will just result into those not voting or even worse voting for Trump or third party out of spite. Either way there will be some left out. But are you rather willing to leave those out who would mostly vote for you but turn out in lesser numbers or those who risk voting for the republicans anyway but come in greater numbers?

Also, have a look at the voting charts of the midterm elections in 2018. The amount of boomers voting is constantly dropping, and by now the Xers, Millenials and Zees  are turning out more numerous as the boomers at the polls. In other words, running after the boomers is a lost case anyway on the medium to long term, so better not scorn the younger ones beforehand.